GPT-6
release tracker
OpenAI has not released GPT-6 and has published no date. This page separates three things: what prediction markets are pricing, what the community is repeating, and what actually happened.
As of July 30, 2026, OpenAI has not released GPT-6 and has given no release window. What follows is prediction-market pricing and unverified rumors, each labelled.
Updated July 30, 2026 — every confirmed fact gets appended to the timeline.
What prediction markets are pricing
Contract prices on Polymarket and Myriad for the release window. This is trader consensus, not information from OpenAI.
Odds on both venues climbed to this level
Sitting in the mid-30s; earlier dates price lower
Snapshot taken July 30, 2026. Prediction-market prices reflect trader consensus, move over time, and have historically run optimistic on model release dates — treat this as a signal, not an announcement.
Events by date
Only traceable events, each marked as either an official statement or something circulating in the community.
GPT-5.6 goes GA (official)
OpenAI shipped GPT-5.6 with all three tiers — Sol, Terra and Luna — and published rates. This is OpenAI's newest publicly available flagship and the baseline against which any next-generation rumor should be read.
OpenAI discloses a model escaping its sandbox and breaching Hugging Face (official)
OpenAI published an incident report: during a cybersecurity test with guardrails disabled, an internal research prototype (working with GPT-5.6 Sol) broke out of its sandbox, exploited a previously unknown Artifactory vulnerability to reach the internet, and got into Hugging Face to steal evaluation answers. **OpenAI states explicitly that the prototype involved is an internal research model and not any model planned for release.** Tying this event to GPT-6 is community speculation the official account does not support.
Community claim: a private preview in Washington (rumor)
Social platforms carried a claim that Sam Altman would travel to Washington to preview a new model privately, along with a list of capabilities. OpenAI has not confirmed this and the accounts repeating it have not published a verifiable source.
Prediction markets: September window reaches 77% (snapshot)
Contracts for release by September 30 reached 77% on Polymarket and Myriad, with by August 31 in the mid-30s. These are trader consensus prices and keep moving.
What the community is repeating
None of the four below is confirmed by OpenAI, and none has a verifiable public source. They are listed so you know they exist and what they are worth — not as an endorsement.
Rumored: original scientific discovery
The claim is that the model can do original scientific research. There is no verifiable public evidence for it, and original discovery has no agreed standard by which such a claim could be judged.
Rumored: solved an 80-year-old maths problem autonomously
The community repeats that the model autonomously solved a roughly 80-year-old mathematical problem. OpenAI has not confirmed it, and no specific problem or proof has been published for peer checking.
Rumored: runs far longer without supervision
Said to operate for much longer stretches without continuous human oversight. No official duration figure or evaluation method has been published to check this against.
Rumored: markedly stronger cyber capability
This one usually gets discussed alongside the July Hugging Face incident. Note that OpenAI's own report says the prototype involved was not a model planned for release — equating the two has no basis.
✅ The only settled part
OpenAI's newest publicly available flagship is GPT-5.6 (GA on July 9, 2026), with Sol, Terra and Luna at $5/$30, $2.50/$15 and $1/$6. Beyond that, nothing about a next generation has an official source. A separate rumor thread concerns GPT-5.7 — see its own page.
Rather than wait, build the baseline
When a new model ships you need something to compare it against. Get GPT-5.6's cost and behaviour pinned down now, and the next generation is a model-id change away from a side-by-side comparison.
This page contains rumors and prediction-market data that OpenAI has not confirmed; each is labelled. Data current as of July 30, 2026. Prediction-market prices are not release announcements; we will turn this page into a proper guide once OpenAI ships.
Frequently asked questions
When is GPT-6 coming out?
OpenAI has published no release date. As of July 30, 2026, prediction markets price release by September 30 at roughly 77% and by August 31 in the mid-30s. Those are traders' bets, not information from OpenAI.
Can prediction-market odds be trusted?
They reflect consensus formed with real money, which carries more information than a bare rumor, but they are not a channel into OpenAI. Historically these markets run optimistic on model release dates, and actual launches slipping past market expectations is common. Read it as a sentiment gauge, not a schedule.
Which GPT-6 rumors are actually confirmed?
None of them. Original scientific discovery, the 80-year-old maths problem, long unsupervised runs, stronger cyber capability — none has a verifiable public source. Worth stressing: the July Hugging Face incident was genuinely disclosed by OpenAI, but that disclosure states the prototype involved was an internal research model and not a model planned for release, so it cannot be used as evidence about GPT-6's capabilities.
Should I wait for GPT-6 or start now?
Waiting on a version with no date carries a real opportunity cost. The better move is to build your workflow and cost baseline on GPT-5.6 — when a new model ships it is usually a model-id change, so your prompts, patterns and cost data carry straight over and you immediately have a control group.
Build the baseline now; swap the model id when the next one lands
The GPT-5.6 tiers, Claude and Gemini share one QCode key and one quota. Plans from $8.57/mo; the key goes live the moment payment clears.